Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 22, 2005

Later, 'Gators! Villanova in First Sweet 16 since 1988!!! (Part 2)

To the Wildcat faithful-

Some superlatives from the NCAA tournament:

Villanova is the only one of the five Catholic schools in the field (Boston College, Creighton, Gonzaga, and St. Mary's were the others) to survive to the Sweet 16. Along with Duke, it is one of only two private schools remaining as well (and the only one with an endowment of less than several billion dollars). (Louisville, despite the name - it sounds Catholic, with a French name, after a city - is actually a public school.) It is a great story in what has already been a blissfully volatile tournament, one in which fully half of the top 16 seeds didn't play themselves into the Sweet 16, including the defending national champion Huskies and fashionable tournament-pool selection Wake Forest, the personal choice of ESPN.com's Andy Katz, who probably knew more about the relative strengths and weaknesses of the teams than anyone on earth.

Most of you are undoubtedly familiar with "The Crocodile Hunter" (and occasional 'Gator Hunter) Steve Irwin, the hyperkinetic, self-educated Australian zoo proprietor/conservationist. Irwin is famous for his highly entertaining Discovery Channel/Animal Planet cable show, frequent "Tonight Show with Jay Leno" appearances (and occasional reckless child endangerment), where he routinely enters hand-to-hand combat with the great cold-blooded predators of the wild. (BTW - in a remarkable bit of bravado, Irwin claims that should he ever encounter a croc who is smarter than he is, and thus has a bit of bad luck while sticking his head into its "giant, gaping jaws", the camera crew has standing orders to keep the film rolling to record Irwin's fate for posterity.)

Well, the Wildcats - with their own NCAA lives at stake yesterday - made Irwin look like a rank, unpolished amateur when it comes to handling 'Gators. "CRI-KEY!!!!!" would have been Irwin's likely reaction, had he been in Nashville yesterday. "That Jason Fraser manhandled 'ose powerful 'Gators, mate, wit' their RARE recruiting spec'mens!! Watch Kigh-ull Lowry, slash 'is way into the 'Gators' razuh-shahp, interiuh defense in the paint! Wasn't that game a beauty!"

The Game Itself

Tip-time was scheduled for 2:15 PM EST, but viewers in the Philadelphia area (and thus anywhere in the world, as Philadelphia was obviously, along with Florida, one of the two primary markets for this game) missed the first 1:25 of Villanova/Florida, since NC State's upset of Connecticut ran long and was competitive down the stretch. Usually this would be a violation of CBS' announced policy of not depriving a game's primary markets of the tip-off of their game, regardless of what is going on in other games around the country. However, I actually wouldn't fault CBS too much for that, as the game was of interest to 'Nova fans for two reasons. One was the fact that it was a Big East rival, the other was that it's a game in 'Nova's bracket, as the winner would be a potential Elite Eight opponent.

After Sumpter went down the first time, he walked off the floor, as the cameras showed Sumpter's anxious family looking on.

Villanova dominated play in the early going, racing out to a 23-10 lead. Florida's next basket finally terminated a six minute dry spell for them, leading Jay Wright to call a timeout, which came at 9:18. The Wildcats led 23-13, had outshot the Gators 50%-33%, had and had outrebounded them 13-5, including 5-0 on the offensive end. Sumpter had made all three of his shots for his eight points - but it would be all he would score, both Sunday and apparently now for the rest of the 2005 tournament.

At the 8:25 mark, he got hurt again, with the score 25-15 'Nova. Florida worked the ball inside to Al Horford, who while pivoting to the hoop, seemed to just lightly bang into Sumpter (if he even collided with him at all - it's hard to tell on the tape because it doesn't zoom in.) But when Horford drew near him, Sumpter immediately toppled over like a statue falling off its pedestal. However, he got up almost immediately, after being attended to by the training staff, and it did not initially look serious. But Sumpter wouldn't return to action for the rest of the day.

Shortly afterward, Walsh committed a borderline intentional foul, which was not called as such. Chasing from behind, Walsh tried to swat Lowry atop his head, like a knight whacking his enemy with a broadsword, as Lowry went up on a breakaway. With the shot dropping anyway, making it 29-15, it triggered the under-8 timeout. Given the NCAA's admirable crackdown on fouls in that situation, should have been ruled intentional. Situations like that are what the rule is DESIGNED to prevent. You can't just go after somebody's head like that when they're up in the air, from behind. There was no meaningful effort on Walsh's part to play the ball. Frustration may have played a role. At that point, 'Nova already had four steals and five deflections, according to a CBS graphic, while Walsh was scoreless.

At 4:55, there was Villanova's best play of the game: a sweet assist leading to a dunk, from the two bench stars, Lowry to Fraser, leading Bill Raftery to exclaim, "left some lingerie on the deck!" It lifted 'Nova's lead to 35-23. At 3:47, Verne Lundquist gave Donovan a backhanded compliment on his recruiting successes: "David Lee, the senior out of St. Louis, #24, highly recruited as a McDonald's All-American, said one reason he chose Florida, over Duke or North Carolina, was because of Billy Donovan 's recruiting of him. He though if Donovan was that persistent as a coach, to equal his persistence as a recruiter, he would work hard to make David Lee a better basketball player." Lee had just scored Florida's last 10 points, and was singlehandedly keeping the Gators in the game, but there was a subtle subtext to the comment, discussed earlier in the article.

At halftime, 'Nova led 39-32, and it could have been higher if a defensive lapse hadn't permitted Florida's reserve freshman Taurean Green to nail a deep three with 7 seconds to go.

It was announced by Lundquist and Raftery, when play resumed, that they had been told that Sumpter had an injured left knee and wouldn't be back. Florida began to build some momentum, the only time they did all day. The 'Gators got to within 39-38 less than 90 seconds into the second half. But Fraser converted an "and-one", boosting it back to 42-38, and 'Nova never yielded the lead. Walsh finally got rolling, draining a three at 16:16 to pull Florida within one at 44-43, his first field goal. Looking at the halftime numbers,

At intermission, Lee had 16 of Florida's 32 points and they could ill-afford to lose him, which became a very real possibility when he picked up his third foul at the 15:56 mark, triggering the under-16 timeout with 'Nova still holding the lead, 44-43. With Florida back in the game, Donovan had no choice but to remove Lee, if only for a minute or so.

TURNING POINT:

In retrospect, Lee's third foul was the turning point. Florida probably would have lost today's game in any event, but Lee's third foul pretty much ended their hopes, even though Donovan put him back in again after a little while, at 14:11. It broke their run. Without Lee, Florida's offense ground to a screeching halt. And even when he came back in, when Horford picked up his own third foul, the momentum had been broken and Florida could never regain it. How bad was it? From the moment Lee picked up his third foul, Florida didn't score a single point for over SEVEN minutes, and by then, the Wildcats - and Florida's season - were long gone. And saddled with fouls, Lee couldn't be as aggressive on either end. When he picked up his third foul, he had 18 points, after his third foul, he had - two. Walsh broke the drought with a triple, but it was way too late by then. Villanova had embarked on a 10-0 run which catapulted the Wildcats to a 53-42 lead - and into the Sweet 16.

In the midst of this run, Lundquist told a story about what had gone on at halftime:

The VU pep band had played "Rocky Top", the Tennessee fight song, which of course went over well with the local denizens at the game in Nashville. But it was a not-so-subtle dig at Florida, for whom the SEC rival Volunteers are the archrival in football, and the Florida fans "stood up and booed them". The rivalry was partially fueled by former UF coach Steve Spurrier, before his stint with the Washington Redskins. Spurrier, in a refreshing display of honesty, disregarded the usual polite, insincere diplomacy most coaches employ when discussing their rivals, acidly quipping, among other things, that due to Tennessee's visits to the also-ran Citrus Bowl, that "you can't spell Citrus without U-T." (Come to think of it, you can't spell "frequent upset" without UF, either...)

Coming out of a timeout, with 5:40 to play, UF started to press, trailing 62-54. 'Nova countered with four guards, plus Fraser, and while they had some trouble with it, they weathered it. At 5:19, Brewer was hit with a charge, and then Lee picked up his fourth foul guarding Fraser with 5:01 to play. Donovan yanked him, but he came back in shortly after, and then with 3:04 fouled out, ending whatever small chance the 'Gators had, trailing 67-58.

That was it. The rest was a victory lap. The two memorable plays in this stretch were Ray making an incredible catch of a wild inbounds pass from Nardi, which I remarked to the guy sitting behind me, "Was that Ray - 6-2 Ray - who caught that ball?' The guy laughed and said, "yeah, he's got some ups." The second was Lowry dribbling the ball while sitting down at midcourt, prompting Raftery to compare the skill to those the Harlem Globetrotters of his own day... CBS put up the stat of the day: 'Nova had just eight points in the paint against New Mexico, and put up 40 against Florida. The primary reason for the explosion in the lane, of course, was Jason Fraser.

On the biggest stage of his career, Jason Fraser finally showed the dominance that led him to be viewed as the top post prospect in America, when he was signed by Villanova earlier in the decade. Ironically, he was the centerpiece of the Fab Four recruiting class which also included Curtis Sumpter, Allan Ray, and Randy Foye, all of whom have surpassed Fraser. The prevailing view back in 2002 was that Villanova was going to have a significant dilemma in the paint, when the "Amityville (NY) Horror" would leave the Main Line for NBA lucre after his sophomore season of 2003-04. 'Nova Nation would have been mildly surprised to learn that Fraser would still be here as a junior, but apoplectic to learn that injuries had dictated that he wouldn't even be in the starting lineup.

Obviously, it hasn't turned out that way. His chronic knee injuries have slowed his development, and downgraded Villanova's putative aircraft carrier, the U.S.S. Fraser, to a battle cruiser coming off the bench. Reportedly, he's a very humble individual who has accepted his reduced status well, and does everything possible to help the team win, and at no time has that fact been more evident than today. It's a shame, because he seems like a nice guy, and was a good fit for Villanova's program as well.

Villanova's meandering in the NIT over the last two years, can largely be explained by the lack of an intimidating post presence that Fraser had been expected to provide. In four years, coach Jay Wright hasn't recruited any other post players (who would have been interested in coming here to sit behind Fraser?). The only exception was Chris Charles, Wright's first recruit after replacing Steve Lappas in 2001, a last-minute spring signing on whom Wright decided to take a flyer, prior to the landing of Fraser. And Charles is of very limited value as a replacement, because of his own health problems.

But when the true extent of Fraser's injuries either became known, OR when they began to initially decay under the increased stress of Big East basketball, the Wildcats had a very real problem on their hands, as they had to play small all the time. If the guards went cold, 'Nova got beat.

Fraser's stunning performance today was even more of a surprise, because he had not been much of a factor against New Mexico on Friday. Fraser played only 14 minutes, scoring two points and pulling down four rebounds against the Lobos. Because of the Lobos' small size and lack of dominant big man, Jay Wright went with a smaller, quicker lineup. Also, Villanova led during the entire game, and had to hold the ball and convert free throws down the stretch, and having Fraser's cast-bound hand on the floor wouldn't help matters. (Which is ironic, in light of how well he shot free throws Sunday.)

Fraser, when he's healthy, can be and is a dominant defensive player who owns the paint, and if he were healthy he undoubtedly would have a bright NBA future solely for that reason, even if he had no offensive skills at all. Unfortunately, Europe is likely his fate; if I were an NBA GM, I doubt that I'd want to risk millions of dollars on a player with chronic knee injuries, even if Fraser were to have a monster senior year. But stranger things have happened, with medical science.

So let's take a look at the numbers. For a change, I'll start with the bench, because they were the key to the victory.

Fraser's 21 points (on 5-9 shooting) and 15 rebounds were obviously awe-inspiring off the bench. Fraser virtually owned the paint in Nashville, going to the foul line no fewer than 17 times and converting 11 of them, good for a big man and particularly good for a guy with a cast.

Lowry's performance would have been the lead story, if not for Fraser's heroics. The freshman continues to impress, particularly since he still may not be fully recovered from a bout of stomach flu earlier this week. Lowry had 15 points, five rebounds and three steals, as well as creating matchup problems for Florida with his speed.

Role players Chris Charles and Marcus Austin made brief appearances to help out in the paint, with Will Sheridan in foul trouble. They didn't bring much to the table statistically, as they played six minutes they had one rebound, one blocked shot, and one steal, failing to score. But they were there to buy Jay Wright time, which they did well. That's why it's a TEAM sport. Charles and Austin did what they could today to help the team win, and they did it well.

Which is a good segue into my next point - giving credit to the practice players: Baker Dunleavy, the injured Michael Claxton, Tom Grace, and Ross Condon. On a glorious occasion, such as a Sweet 16 appearance, it's appropriate to give those guys some props. They aren't just there to fill out the bench on game days and to make cameo appearances at the end of blowouts. You need a minimum of ten guys to practice, even if nobody's injured (which someone always is) and those guys serve the team effectively by giving the rotation players sparring partners in practice. They often mimic the upcoming opponent's style as best they can. The fact that they don't play in competitive game situations, doesn't make their contributions to the team's success any less valid. By definition, only five guys can play at any one time, and the goal of a team sport such as basketball, is for all members of the team to do whatever they can to help the TEAM be successful, even if there is no direct glory for any particular individual.

Starters

Sumpter appeared well on his way to a huge game, scoring eight points and grabbing six boards early on, before his day was prematurely ended by two separate knee injuries.

Allan Ray needs to come home and figure out what happened to him in Nashville. Ray had a dismal performance in both games, yesterday he failed to make a field goal in six attempts, finishing with 7 points, all from the line, and three assists. Ray's typical offensive output will be sorely needed against Carolina, especially if Sumpter either isn't available or isn't 100%.

But Randy Foye picked up the slack for Foye, scoring 18 points and adding four rebounds and two steals.

Mike Nardi did what he needs to do - which is, run the point first, look for his shot later. He played 38 minutes and while he made only one of his six shots, finishing with three points, 'Nova doesn't really need him to score.

Finally, Will Sheridan sank into foul trouble, logging just 20 minutes due to four fouls. He didn't have much of an impact on the stat sheet, although he did play solid defense, finishing with four points and seven rebounds.

How about the 'Gators?

McDonald's All-American David Lee had a great overall game before fouling out. Lee had a double-double with 20 points and 10 rebounds in 33 minutes. He also had a strong defensive game, finishing with three steals and three blocks. Lee's ouster near the end of the game was the final nail in the Gators' coffin.

Philadelphian Matt Walsh, a Holland (Bucks County) native who attended Germantown Academy (alma mater of Alvin Williams), finished in double figures with a dozen points, nine rebounds, and three assists. But Walsh did not have as an strong overall game as those numbers would indicate. He shot 4-13 from the floor and committed four turnovers. He didn't make a field goal at all until the second half. After fouling out, the head-banded Walsh looked every bit the picture of defeat, burying his head in his arms on the bench in a visual that practically screamed to CBS, "Put this shot in the "One Shining Moment" montage next week." Look for it.

Walsh was the one Gator who was well-known to Villanova's program, due to geography. Walsh had already committed to Florida, when Wright replaced Steve Lappas in the spring of 2001, but Wright made a last-ditch effort with him anyway, and they "know each other well", according to Florida's media notes.

As for Florida's other two McDonald's All-Americans, both had subpar games. Anthony Roberson, along with Lee and Walsh part of Florida's triumvirate on the offensive end, was dreadful, going 1-8 from the floor to finish with just five points in 26 minutes. Roberson had no impact at all, and Donovan probably reduced his minutes to try to get something going with a hotter hand. The other AA, swingman Corey Brewer, managed to score 11 points, but also committed four turnovers and didn't rebound (just one for the game in 28 minutes).

Al Horford, a second-line player forced into service earlier this season, because of an injury to projected starter Adrian Moss (who played three minutes) was eaten alive by Fraser in the paint, committing four fouls in 22 minutes and failing to score (although he did have five rebounds).

Three bench players combined for a respectable 17 points, but it wasn't enough to make a difference.

My own personal experience, redux

As I did on Friday, I watched the game in Jake Nevin Field House, on the big screen with a small assemblage of about 75 other fans, who eschewed the vibrancy and undoubtedly fun and buzz of watching it in a Main Line bar, in order to see the game on a huge screen with perfect volume and sight lines. Unfortunately, due to a quirk in the Christian calendar long predating the NCAA tournament, Easter falls early this year. This means that the Villanova students won't get the full benefit of the Sweet 16 experience, as the campus will be shut down for the Easter break during Villanova's game(s) this weekend. For me, it also means no big screen in Nevin, so I will have to scout out an alternative site.

Audrey Kline, a senior from Lebanon, Pa., won herself a full-sized backyard basketball hoop set by volunteering to lead the crowd in the VU fight song, "V for Villanova". (Read the back of your "V" shirts to learn the words.) She said that as a former cheerleader, it wasn't too tough. At halftime, despite Sumpter's absence, Kline was not concerned about Villanova advancing to the Sweet 16, stating confidently (and in prescient terms): "We're going to win." Kline knows basketball well, praising the team for its frontcourt play, in Sumpter's absence: "I'm glad that we're going inside, and not relying on the perimeter, establishing dominance in the paint." Kline was there watching the game with her boyfriend, senior Joe Farrell of Medford, N.J. (if memory serves me correctly, the hometown of late-'90s star Malik Allen). Farrell was equally enthused about the Wildcats' chances: "I love how dynamic our team can be...we have an excellent perimeter game, and as we are proving today, we can play inside as well..." Farrell was also excited about the fact that the Wildcats lose no players of consequence and will return six seniors next year: "I can't wait to see our boys come back next year and do it all over again."

The mood, naturally, was a lot more upbeat than it was on Friday, when the collective feeling could be best described as a sigh of relief. There was a lot of enthusiastic cheering and clapping, throughout. What's really surprising - and which gives me some hope for Friday night - is how easy a time the 'Cats had of it. Villanova made pretty short work of Florida, a higher seed, defeating them by 11 points and pulling away midway through the second half. And they did it largely (about three-quarters of the game) without Sumpter, arguably their best player and certainly one of the top two. Without him, Villanova is not likely to defeat Carolina, let alone reach the Final Four, but it certainly looks a lot more feasible than it did back in mid-January, prior to the victory over Kansas. I would not be raising ANY white flags due to Sumpter's injury. Think of it this way...

Villanova only needs to be one point better than Carolina on a neutral floor, with a de facto home court advantage for 40 minutes. It wouldn't require any miracles for that to take place. Just good solid basketball.

I am in the midst of preparing the Ultimate Guide to Villanova/North Carolina, which will appear as soon as it's ready. Thanks to the helpful folks at the UNC Sports Information office, who are sending me a media guide, which is in transit from Chapel Hill as I write this.

Later, 'Gators! Villanova in First Sweet 16 since 1988!

To the Wildcat faithful!!!-

Villanova has thrilled 'Nova Nation by returning to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 1988!!!! On Sunday, the #5 Wildcats easily defeated the #4 Florida Gators, 76-65, in the second round of the NCAA tournament in Nashville. The star of the game was Jason Fraser, who scored 21 points and grabbed 15 rebounds to lead 'Nova to victory...

This is the comprehensive version of the recap which appeared earlier...

The Wildcats, now 24-7, will advance to the familiar territory of the Carrier Dome in Syracuse, N.Y., for the Sweet 16 (the official title being "regional semifinals", but that doesn't have much of a ring to it). They will face the top seed in the Syracuse Region, the North Carolina Tar Heels, at 9:57 PM on Friday night on CBS. Be flattered: CBS - whose billions in rights fees give it unilateral power in deciding who plays when - showcases the most attractive games in the nightcap of these Sweet 16, Elite Eight doubleheaders. #10 NC State will face #6 Wisconsin in the opener at 7:27 PM. Remember, most of the country is behind us in time zones, so 10 PM nationally actually gets more national exposure than 7:30, since it would be only 4:30 in California.

If the Wildcats prevail Friday night, they would face the NC State/Wisconsin winner on Sunday for the right to go to the Final Four; it would be 'Nova's first trip there since 1985, when they won it all. The Wildcats also caught a break today, when NC State upset defending national champion Connecticut, the #2 seed in the region. If the #5 'Cats upset #1 Carolina, they might be favored against either NC State OR Wisconsin, both lower seeds - even without Sumpter. Plus, the overwhelming majority of fans at the site will be pulling for 'Nova, with NC State, Carolina and Wisconsin as the other three, all located much further from Syracuse.

But of immediate concern is the health of Curtis Sumpter, who logged just ten minutes, scoring eight points and collecting six rebounds, after injuring his knee in two separate incidents during the first half. It was unclear at the initial writing whether Sumpter will be available for the game against North Carolina. In addition to Fraser, Kyle Lowry was a hero, scoring a career-high 15 points off the bench in 31 minutes, and accumulating five rebounds and three steals as well.

However, on Monday, ESPN.com carried an AP story that Sumpter would miss the rest of the tournament. According to the AP, a MRI today revealed that in Sunday's game Sumpter suffered a torn ligament in his knee. The loss is indubitably a huge blow to 'Nova's hopes of upsetting North Carolina, which has a powerful inside presence. Sumpter's minutes will be taken by Fraser, who would certainly take Sumpter's spot in the starting lineup, with Will Sheridan shifting to the four position. Fraser's minutes off the bench, in turn, would slide down to forward/centers Marcus Austin and Chris Charles, who have never played much despite the fact that both are currently in their fourth year at Villanova (they had redshirt seasons and will return next year).

What would be the fatal blow came with 8:25 to came, when Sumpter went down after what may or may not have been a collision with Florida's Al Horford on the baseline, which is detailed later in the article.

Remarkably, the Wildcats and West Virginia - a #7 seed which vaulted off the bubble to win the Big East tournament and take the automatic bid - are the only two Big East teams remaining of the six which qualified: the Big East had received the most bids of any conference. The ACC, with North Carolina, Duke, and NC State still alive, have the most left of any conference, with three of its five-team contingent surviving. Wake Forest was upended in an incredible battle with the Mountaineers late Saturday night, with both teams clearing the century mark in double overtime. Georgia Tech fell to Louisville in the second round.

Ironically, within the Big East, the Wildcats were the fourth place finisher and West Virginia was seventh, and the Mountaineers eliminated Villanova in the semifinals of the conference tournament. Regular-season co-champions Boston College (playing its final Big East season, before shifting to the ACC next year) and Connecticut both lost in the second round, while Pittsburgh and Syracuse never made it out of the first. All except Pitt, which lost an 8-9 game as the 9, were upset by lower-seeded opponents. (As improbable as this possibility is: Villanova and West Virginia could meet in the national championship game...)

Villanova had not previously faced its first two opponents this year, Florida or New Mexico, in previous NCAA tournaments. But it will be the fourth time the Wildcats and Tar Heels have battled in the Big Dance. Michael Jordan led the Tar Heels to victory over 'Nova in the 1982 tournament, and the Wildcats also fell to Carolina in the second round in 1991, after escaping a tight one with Princeton in the opener. However, Villanova won the most important NCAA game with Carolina: in the Elite Eight in 1985. The Wildcats of Destiny upset the #2-seeded Tar Heels to advance to the Final Four, crossing the threshold of immortality even if they hadn't gone on to win it all the following week against Georgetown.

The Sweet 16 milestone is particularly sweet for coach Jay Wright, who was an assistant to the legendary Roland V. Massimino on the Main Line in 1988, the last time the 'Cats made it this far. That team traveled to Birmingham, Ala., won in the Sweet 16 against Kentucky and advanced to the Elite Eight, finally falling to pre-season tournament favorite Oklahoma, which was in turn upset by Danny Manning's Kansas team.

SEE YA LATER, ALLIGATOR

For the second game in a row, the Wildcats ended someone's long winning streak. Florida's eight-game winning streak, which had culminated in a SEC tournament championship and a narrow first-round victory over Ohio U. on Friday, is now in the history books, as is its season. The Gators completed the 2004-05 campaign with a 24-8 record.

But it will be of little comfort this off-season. It will be filled with more acrimony, as yet another of Billy Donovan's Gator squads has failed to make the Sweet 16 while wearing white jerseys, for the fifth straight year. Florida enjoyed its seventh consecutive NCAA bid of a #6 seed or higher, but since its 2000 title-game run, has not qualified for a Sweet 16, including two first-round losses. In fact, since 2000, the Gators have annually been ousted by a lower seed, including today's loss to the Wildcats. Donovan's critics will also zero in on the fact that the 'Cats were basically without the services of their best player, Sumpter, for most of the game - and still managed to beat Florida by double-digits. Since the 2000 run - in which Florida needed overtime to outlast #12 Butler in the first round - Donovan's five subsequent NCAA teams have won a grand total of three games, all against double-digit seeds. This mournful quote from the FRONT PAGE of fan site GatorCountry.com says it all:

"If there is solace in this loss, it is that at least the Gators didn't lose to a team with a double digit seeding. Florida was a four and Villanova was a five, so the teams should have been fairly even."

Billy Donovan's most likely response will be to go out and sign some more McDonald's All-Americans, in the vain hope that if he can just load the roster up with enough of them, he can't lose. He'd be better off finding a grizzled old assistant coach to teach his talent-laden roster of freelancers play five-man basketball. The Gators looked - well to paraphrase the great baseball writer Bill James - like a team only in the official sense, in that they all wear identical jerseys and get statistical credit for assists on each other's baskets. Naturally, Donovan looked very frustrated, almost in a torpor, yesterday, as Villanova rolled to victory.

But as the Gospel of Matthew stated in last night's Palm Sunday service, those that live by the sword, die by the sword. It appears equally true those programs who prosper with McDonald's AAs, perish by them as well. Florida brought three of them (Roberson, Lee, and Brewer) into the game yesterday, to Villanova's one (Fraser), but Fraser was the difference-maker. And so Florida goes home early to Gainesville yet again, without having needed to unpack (or even pack!) its blue jerseys for the tournament. However, the U of F community will likely divert itself from this latest unhappy outcome, with the joys of spring football, its true love. GatorZone.com proudly announces that the annual Blue/Orange football game will be on April 9, just a couple of weeks away.

Donovan clearly believes that simply drowning opponents in a deluge of talent is the way to go, and in the SEC, he's probably right. He has awesome results in the regular season, including leading the Gators to the top spot in the polls, however briefly, in both 2003 and 2004. And he routinely draws high NCAA seeds, while graduating his players (15 of 19 possible graduations have taken place under his watch). But I strongly suspect that the consequences of this philosophy are that Donovan and his staff don't spend enough time properly preparing and coaching the many elite recruits the Gators already have nabbed. (And Florida's talent goes well beyond the nine McDonald's All-Americans he has signed, since he got there in 19960. Florida's last five NCAA performances support that conclusion, and based on yesterday's effort, it certainly seemed that way.

It won't help Donovan that the Gators acquitted themselves very poorly yesterday. Particularly in contrast to New Mexico, which brought a smaller and less talented team to face Villanova. The Gators looked both ill-prepared and sloppy, throughout most of the game against the Wildcats. Among other things, countless passes were simply heaved across mid-court, leading to Wildcat baskets in transition. The Gators committed 19 turnovers while recording just nine assists. And Villanova had 11 steals, which as color analyst Whitey Rigsby likes to accurately point out, "often lead to easy baskets." Steals are very damaging, as opposed to other sorts of turnovers, such as traveling or backcourt, where play stops and the team which turned over the ball gets a chance to set up on defense and redeem itself.

Not that Donovan isn't used to getting whipped by 'Nova. When he played for Providence, from 1984-87, the Friars played Villanova twice a year in that simpler era of the nine-team Big East. Villanova beat Donovan's Friars the first seven times he played them: he was winless against the 'Cats entering his senior year. That season, when Rick Pitino got them to the Final Four. Donovan's PC blew out Villanova twice, leaving his lifetime record against the 'Cats 2-7 as a player.

As it turns out, there actually was a connection between the Wrights and the Donovans, aside from both coaches being young, successful, and from the East Coast. Verne Lundquist reported on yesterday's broadcast that during the late '90s, when Wright was the head coach at Hofstra in New York State, the Wrights almost bought a house from Donovan's father(Donovan grew up in Long Island).

Monday, March 21, 2005

#5 Villanova, Fraser Knock Out #4 Florida, Head to NCAA Sweet 16!!!

To the Wildcat faithful!!!-

Villanova has thrilled 'Nova Nation by returning to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 1988!!!! On Sunday, the #5 Wildcats easily defeated the #4 Florida Gators, 76-65, in the second round of the NCAA tournament in Nashville. The star of the game was Jason Fraser, who scored 21 points and grabbed 15 rebounds to lead 'Nova to victory...

This is the quick version of the recap of today's game. As soon as possible, a comprehensive recap of this tremendous day for Villanova will appear...

The Wildcats, now 24-7, will advance to the familiar territory of the Carrier Dome in Syracuse, N.Y., for the Sweet 16 (the official title being "regional semifinals", but that doesn't have much of a ring to it). They will face the top seed in the Syracuse Region, the North Carolina Tar Heels, at 9:57 PM on Friday night on CBS. Be flattered: CBS - whose billions in rights fees give it unilateral power in deciding who plays when - showcases the most attractive games in the nightcap of these Sweet 16, Elite Eight doubleheaders. #10 NC State will face #6 Wisconsin in the opener at 7:27 PM. Remember, most of the country is behind us in time zones, so 10 PM nationally actually gets more national exposure than 7:30, since it would be only 4:30 in California.

If the Wildcats prevail Friday night, they would face the NC State/Wisconsin winner on Sunday for the right to go to the Final Four; it would be 'Nova's first trip there since 1985, when they won it all. (The Wildcats also caught a break today when NC State upset defending national champion Connecticut, the #2 seed in the region. If the #5 'Cats upset #1 Carolina, they would likely be favored against either NC State OR Wisconsin, both lower seeds.)

But of immediate concern is the health of Curtis Sumpter, who logged just ten minutes, scoring eight points and collecting six rebounds, after injuring his knee in two separate incidents during the first half. It was unclear at this writing whether Sumpter will be available for the game against North Carolina. In addition to Fraser, Kyle Lowry was a hero, scoring a career-high 15 points off the bench in 31 minutes, and accumulating five rebounds and three steals as well.

Remarkably, the Wildcats and West Virginia - a #7 seed which vaulted off the bubble to win the Big East tournament and take the automatic bid - are the only two Big East teams remaining of the six which qualified: the most bids of any conference. Ironically, the Wildcats were the fourth place finisher and West Virginia was seventh, and the Mountaineers eliminated Villanova in the semifinals of the conference tournament. Regular-season co-champions Boston College (playing its final Big East season, before shifting to the ACC next year) and Connecticut both lost in the second round, while Pittsburgh and Syracuse never made it out of the first. All except Pitt, which lost an 8-9 game as the 9, were upset by lower-seeded opponents. (As improbable as this possibility is: Villanova and West Virginia could meet in the national championship game...)

Villanova had not previously faced its first two opponents this year, Florida or New Mexico, in previous NCAA tournaments. But it will be the fourth time the Wildcats and Tar Heels have battled in the Big Dance. Michael Jordan led the Tar Heels to victory over 'Nova in the 1982 tournament, and the Wildcats also fell to Carolina in the second round in 1991, after escaping a tight one with Princeton in the opener. However, Villanova won the most important NCAA game with Carolina: in the Elite Eight in 1985. The Wildcats of Destiny upset the #2-seeded Tar Heels to advance to the Final Four, crossing the threshold of immortality even if they hadn't gone on to win it all the following week against Georgetown.

For the second game in a row, the Wildcats ended someone's long winning streak. Florida's eight-game winning streak, which had culminated in a SEC tournament championship and a narrow first-round victory over Ohio U. on Friday, is now in the history books, as is its season. The Gators completed the 2004-05 campaign with a 24-8 record.

But it will be of little comfort this off-season. It will be filled with more acrimony, as yet another of Billy Donovan's Gator squads has failed to make the Sweet 16 while wearing white jerseys, for the fifth straight year. Florida enjoyed its seventh consecutive NCAA bid of a #6 seed or higher, but since its 2000 title-game run, has not qualified for a Sweet 16, including two first-round losses. In fact, since 2000, the Gators have annually been ousted by a lower seed, including today's loss to the Wildcats. Donovan's critics will also zero in on the fact that the 'Cats were basically without the services of their best player, Sumpter, for most of the game - and still managed to beat Florida by double-digits. Since the 2000 run - in which Florida needed overtime to outlast #12 Butler in the first round - Donovan's five subsequent NCAA teams have won a grand total of three games, all against double-digit seeds.

More to come...

Saturday, March 19, 2005

The Guide to Villanova/Florida - NCAA Tournament Second Round

To the Wildcat faithful-

Wondering about the Gators? A short sketch of Villanova's next opponent in the second round of the NCAA tournament. Meet the Gators...

This is entitled "The Guide to VU/Florida", in marked contrast to "The Ultimate Guide to VU/New Mexico", because of time constraints, being the second-round guide. It will be a lot shorter than the ones for New Mexico. Should Villanova triumph, an "Ultimate Guide" to the next opponent will appear sometime next week.

My personal biases...

I'm going to try to be as objective as I can, but in my opinion, schools like Florida - Southern football factories - are representative of everything that is wrong with college athletics. Although to its credit, over the last seven years - the Billy Donovan regime - Florida's academic awards dwarf those of its SEC rivals; the Gators have nearly twice as many SEC Honor Roll Awards as Mississippi State, its closest competitor. On Selection Sunday, I was really happy when we drew New Mexico in the first game, because it's an interesting program with devoted fans, from far away, that we never get a chance to see much. And I was really disappointed when Ohio U. couldn't pull off the upset against Florida:

not only because now we have a tougher second-round opponent, not only because I would have liked to have seen the underdog win, not only because it would have been a great comeback, but because I would much rather have researched and written about Ohio U.'s program than a football factory like Florida, whose basketball team is on CBS all the time anyway.

Every year, I root for Florida in football against Florida State, because I hate Florida State, but that's about it. In the Steve Spurrier, Fun-and-Gun era, they were entertaining to watch. (BTW - That's a serious rivalry... I once read a story about a Florida shopping mall Santa Claus, a Seminole fan in civilian life, who was fired for - with a straight face - telling some poor little boy who wanted some Florida gear for Christmas, "Gee... Santa doesn't like Gator fans... you shouldn't expect anything this year." The guy might have been right - Santa must love FSU, and that's why they get all those shoes every year. FSU stands for "Free Shoes University" for a reason... but I digress.. :)

It's not a coincidence that I begin a story about Florida with football, because football is the unquestioned king in Gainesville, Florida, and for the U of F community. Basketball ranks a distant second in popularity, and Gators baseball has its fans, too. (Cynics might contend that Florida hoops may also rank behind spring football and, especially in this Internet era, football recruiting in the U of F sporting hierarchy :).

Ironically, in light of the fact that it's the permanent second banana, Florida hoops has been pretty good over the last few years. Win some bar bets with this one:

Name the four teams that have been a #6 seed or higher, in each of the last seven NCAA tournaments.

Duke, Kentucky, Kansas - all likely suspects, and all correct. And then, not Syracuse or Arizona (the two I'd have guessed - but...

Florida. (Granted, the seeds have been lower than the other three - #6, #5, #3, #5, #2, #5, #4. But still...)

Not bad company for a program that had never even qualified for the NCAA tournament until 1987, much less won it. Over the last 18 years, the Gators have made up for lost time, though: a dozen appearances. Furthermore, they have enjoyed a lot of success, going 17-11 in the tournament and reaching the Sweet 16 four times. The centerpiece achievements were reaching the Final Four in 1994 and then again in 2000 (as a #5 seed) reaching the title game before losing to a superior Michigan State team led by the "Flintstones" and Mateen Cleaves. They've developed a rivalry with Kentucky, as although the two schools are geographically very distant, they have jockeyed for pre-eminence within the Southeast Conference's East Division. (They have true rivalries, as in the SEC you play your division rivals twice every year and the other division's teams only once.) One can only imagine what the typical Wildcat fan, with its glorious tradition, thinks of Gator fans..

This year's team

The Gators finished the season hot, with a 24-7 record and winning the SEC tournament championship; they finished 12-4 in the SEC regular season. It was good enough for second place in the East Division, two games behind division leader Kentucky. But the Gators beat their archrival Wildcats twice in eight days over the last two weeks. (Hopefully all their anti-Wildcat luck has been exhausted...) They currently are ranked #16 in the AP poll, and were, after all, seeded higher than Villanova, as a #4.

Out-of-conference, they've been pretty weak. The schedule was just OK, and they don't have a win over anyone good. Their best win is over Donovan's alma mater, Providence (a 18 point home triumph). After that, they doubled up Eastern Kentucky, 98-49, which looks more impressive now after the Colonels qualified for the NCAA tournament as a #15 seed and fought in-state rival Kentucky hard for a while, before losing by just eight. They played their in-state football rivals, FSU and Miami, but lost to both ACC schools. Their best loss is a four-point defeat to Louisville. Probably when the schedule was drawn up, Donovan thought he'd have a RPI powerhouse, but Providence and FSU both had terrible seasons, sinking to the bottom of their conferences. Most of their other games were against Sunshine State cupcakes, all of whom they cruised past.

Within the SEC, though, they were good. They did very well against the other SEC tourney qualifiers, finishing 6-3 against them. They beat UK two out of three, two wins over Alabama (a 31 point win at home and then again by six in the SEC tourney), split with LSU, lost at Mississippi State, but then beat the Bulldogs in the tournament. Three of their four SEC losses were against NCAA qualifiers, the only bad one being a home loss to Tennessee in overtime, and the Gators won the subsequent game at Knoxville. (Tennessee had a sufficiently bad year that its coach, Buzz Peterson, got fired this week.)

Billy Donovan likes to use a ton of players, way too many to keep track of, and no starter averages more than 30 minutes a game as a result. (Gotta spread the playing time around...) He's got 12 guys that average at least nine minutes a game.

Billy Donovan

The steward of the program's most recent successes is a young coach who, as a guard, led Providence to the Final Four in 1987, the same year Florida debuted in the tournament, by the name of Billy Donovan. Rick Pitino, way back then, made his rise on the national scene by taking the Cinderella Friars to the Final Four as a #12 seed (the lowest, before or since, to ever get that far) and his player Donovan became one of his proteges, and arguably his most successful one. As a player, Donovan was a first-team All-Big East honoree his senior year, and was named Most Outstanding Player of the Regional the Friars won to reach the Final Four. Donovan was an assistant to Pitino at Kentucky, became the head coach at Marshall for two years, and then arrived in Gainesville for the 1996-97 season, replacing Lon Kruger. His first year, the Gators struggled. His second year, they reached the NIT, and beginning in 1999, they have made the tournament every year and never been seeded lower than #6.

Donovan is part of two very exclusive but overlapping fraternities. One is coaches who have both played and coached in a Final Four - there are just six, including Dean Smith (who played for Kansas and coached at North Carolina) and the odious Bob Knight (who played for Ohio State and coached at Indiana, now at Texas Tech). The other consists of two guys: Donovan and one other guy, Dick Harp, who played for Kansas and also coached at Kansas in the 1950s. The pair are the only coaches ever to play AND be an assistant coach AND a head coach in the Final Four (Donovan was an assistant on Pitino's 1993 Kentucky Final Four team). Harp played for the Jayhawks, and was also an assistant coach and head coach at Kansas during Final Four appearances, apparently.

Donovan, who will turn just 40 in May, was a white-hot commodity in 2000. He had taken a ridiculously young and talented team to the title game, as a #5 seed, and was the subject of a great deal of sniping from other coaches, especially SEC rivals, for what charitably might be described as a relaxed attitude toward NCAA recruiting regulations. Since 1998, Donovan has signed no fewer than NINE McDonald's All-Americans: Mike Miller, Teddy Dupay, Donnell Harvey, Brett Nelson, David Lee, Jason White, Kwame Brown (who never played for him), Anthony Roberson, and Cory Brewer. Lee, Roberson and Brewer are all current members of the team. (Villanova's Jason Fraser was also a McDonald's All-American, but his injuries have slowed his development.)

Donovan's youth, his dazzling recruiting successes, and the tantalizing promise of future national titles seemed to indicate that the next Rick Pitino was indeed lurking in - of all places - the football-addled swamps of northern Florida. Donovan became overexposed in the national media, and his prominent widow's peak became almost as familiar as Dick Nixon's.

But you don't hear about Donovan as much anymore. Mainly because his star has receded quite a bit, as his Gators - despite their undeniable blue-chip talent - have unceremoniously washed out to sea in each of the last four tournaments. From 2001-04 - despite all those high seeds - the Gators managed to win a grand total of two games in four appearances, and did not reach the Sweet 16 at all. And in 1999, they were upset by Gonzaga, as a #6 in the Sweet 16.

All in all, that's a lot of losing to lower seeds over a seven year period, and there's been some rumbling in Gainesville about Donovan's inability to win consistently (or nowadays, at all :) in the Big Dance. He's been in the NCAA tournament seven straight years now. But outside of the 2000 run, he has NEVER won a game against another power conference team in the NCAAs, and his career NCAA record is just 5-5. (It's 10-6 overall, including yesterday's victory.) During his Florida tenure, his non-2000 NCAA victories have come against Penn, Weber State, Western Kentucky, Sam Houston State, and Ohio University, all lower-seeded programs dwarfed by Florida's size. And he has upset, white-jerseyed losses to Gonzaga (1999), Creighton (2002), and Manhattan (2004). Far more than any other program, the Gators have now become a staple of CBS's inspirational Cinderella montages to open its tournament broadcasts, but on the wrong end - as the foils.

In light of this history, there was likely a lot of wailing and gnashing of teeth in Florida when #13 seed Ohio U. made its charge on Friday afternoon, after Florida had led by 20 with 12 minutes to play. (Here we go again...) And the Gators were truly LUCKY to escape yet another upset defeat at the hands of a Cinderella. The Bobcats threw away that game in the final two minutes. They missed a dunk which would have given them a two-point LEAD, they committed an unforced turnover, and Florida then lucked out when a short airball dropped into a Gator's arms under the basket, and he was able to convert a traditional three-point play. Had Florida fallen again, it would have been its second straight first-round exit. It also would have been its fourth upset loss in seven years, and far and away the most humiliating one.

Of course, Donovan would likely scoff at the notion that he's struggled in the tournament. He would - accurately - point out that in 2000, he beat a veritable murderer's row of traditional power teams - Duke, Illinois, Oklahoma State, and North Carolina - with a 5 seed. (His critics would reply that he was lucky to get out of the first round, when #12 Butler took them into overtime and it took a miracle shot for the Gators to pull it out.)

Regardless of the identity of the coach, Florida has a lot of the elements in place for a successful program, with the two exceptions of being in football's long shadow and the lack of a pre-Reagan-era winning tradition. Namely: great weather, fun place to go to school, proximity to talent, on-campus arena, state school money, power conference membership, etc. Donovan's done well in the SEC and he'll always have that 2000 title run, but if he's ever going to approach the status of his mentor Pitino, he needs to at least make a deep run every once in a while. (Or at minimum, stop losing to the underdogs everyone loves and becoming favorite fodder for CBS's video editors.)

The clear implication of Donovan's critics: Donovan is the personified cliche of a young, flashy, sophisticated Northeastern coach who talks a great game on the recruiting circuit, but can't coach come game day, on the bench.

Of course, all this spells good news for Villanova. Clearly, Donovan's Florida teams have historically struggled against teams that are unfamiliar in the NCAA tournament. And Villanova's talent, unlike many of those mid-major teams, can go toe-to-toe with the Gators'. In a battle of basketball IQ, I'd take Jay Wright over Billy Donovan every day of the week and twice on Sunday (especially THIS Sunday :)

Villanova Wildcats/Florida Gators ties

The only significant one is Matt Walsh, a native of Holland, Pa., a pleasant suburb in Bucks County, and graduate of Germantown Academy, the same school that produced Villanova's own Alvin Williams. Walsh has played a lot of pickup games against the current Wildcats and "knows Wright well". He's the Gators' second leading scorer.

Very few others that I could imagine. There was of course, the late, great Al E. Gator's on Lancaster Avenue in Haverford, a popular, spacious Main Line hangout back in the day (the late '90s). Gator's offered decent food in a casual environment and lots of big screen TVs for the game, but the place was big enough that there was pretty much something for everybody. (Trying to remember if they had DJ's, dancing there - anybody remember? I think so...)

Gator's met its demise, unfortunately, due to its massive size. The parcel of real estate was so valuable, that a cash-cow casual restaurant simply wasn't profitable enough, for the lucky devil who owned the property. So, in early 1997, it was announced that Gator's would officially close on March 18, one day after St. Patrick's Day (trying to milk one last bit of cash out of the Main Line bar crowd before selling out!) - and that it would be demolished to make room for a Lexus dealership. If you're into $50,000 vehicles, you probably liked the change, but if not, too bad. Gator's the night it closed was a fun scene. Mobbed, but fun. And so now it lives on as a Lexus dealership.

But seriously... very few. The Wildcat legend Howard Porter, star of the 1971 Final Four team that lost to UCLA in the final, was from Sarasota, Florida. I don't remember anyone else of any prominence from the Sunshine State. Villanova and Florida have only clashed twice, as they played a home-and-home series during the Kerry Kittles era. On December 22, 1993, Florida won at the Pavilion, 85-77, and on January 14, 1995, Villanova won at the O'Connell Center, 72-70.